The national talking heads are doing what they get paid to do. Mainly, overreacting. Many of them are loudly adamant that the Packers are positioning themselves to move on from Aaron Rodgers after the 2021 season. They point to the Packers' hesitation to restructure or extend Rodgers' contract.
This is nonsense. Rodgers will be Green Bay's signal caller for as long as he continues to play at a high level, and there's no reason to believe he can't do that for several more seasons. Plus there are reports the team is indeed working on some sort of contract adjustment.
But since it's the offseason, and news is slow, let's go with it just for fun. Let's imagine Green Bay does plan to trade their future Hall of Famer after next season. What exactly could they get for him? What should they demand for him? What is the going rate for an elite quarterback?
Let's see....the Lions got two first round picks, a third rounder, and a quarterback for Matthew Stafford. Stafford is good, but certainly not on Rodgers' level. The Texans and Seahawks both claim their quarterbacks, Deshaun Watson and Russell Wilson, are not on the market, yet Watson has flatly stated he won't play another game for Houston, and Wilson's agent has gone public with a list of teams that he would be amenable to playing for. It is widely speculated that it would take three first round picks, and a quarterback, to make a trade for either of them.
So, it's reasonable to think that the Packers could expect the same, if not more, for QB12. Three firsts and a QB. You are General Manager Brian Gutekunst. Do you take that deal? It would probably depend on where and when the picks are, and who the replacement quarterback is. Let's speculate about some scenarios.
The 49ers just traded up to the number three spot in the coming draft, so they are going to draft their future quarterback. But we're just spitballing here, so let's imagine the Niners offer Green Bay three first rounders and throw in Jimmy Garopollo. Would you take that deal?
How about the Miami Dolphins? What if they offered three first rounders and threw in Tua Tagovailoa? As Howie Mandel would say, Deal or No Deal?
The New York Jets could offer three firsts and Sam Darnold. The Jaguars are going to draft Trevor Lawrence with the number one pick. What if the Jags offer the Packers three firsts and Lawrence? Or Gardner Minshew? Carolina could approach with three firsts and Teddy Bridgewater.
Since Green Bay already has a quarterback prospect in Jordan Love, the throw-in player wouldn't have to be a quarterback. What if the Broncos offered three firsts and threw in Von Miller? You would never trade Rodgers to the Bears, right? But what if they offered three firsts and Akiem Hicks? Would you be tempted?
The possibilities are endless, but let's consider how the Packers would actually rebuild in such a scenario. If they decided Love was not going to be good enough, they could package some of these first round picks to move to almost anywhere they wanted to in the draft and take a signal caller. Keep in mind also that all but $17 million of Rodgers' salary would come off the books. So, presumably, the team would have some cash to go free agent shopping for a serviceable quarterback, or some other valuable addition.
Here's another possibility. Maybe by the end of 2021 the relationship between Deshaun Watson and/or Russell Wilson with their teams becomes untenable. What if Seattle offers Wilson for Rodgers straight up? Or Houston offers Watson for Rodgers straight up? Would you do it?
Again, to be clear, all of this is just slow news day speculation. I really don't believe the Packers want to trade Arod after 2021, nor do I think they should. But the team will face this situation at some point in the future. The longer they wait, the less they will get in return.
When do you pull the trigger?
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March 29, 2021 at 06:01PM
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What Could Packers Actually Get For Aaron Rodgers in 2022? - Cheesehead TV
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