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What Mink Thinks: Why the Orlando Brown Jr. Trade Is a Win-Win-Win The Ravens - BaltimoreRavens.com

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Ravens: Good value on return

At the 2019 Pro Bowl, it became obvious that the Ravens had a good problem on their hands. They had a pair of Pro Bowl offensive tackles in Brown and Ronnie Stanley. It was always going to be tough to pay them both, and Baltimore made its decision on Oct. 30 last year when it signed Stanley to a five-year extension reportedly worth nearly $100 million.

In Brown's mind, that probably was the beginning of the end of his time in Baltimore. Brown shifted to left tackle, proved he could play there at a high level, and cemented his belief that he was a left – not right – tackle. Then, in January, he tweeted, "I'm a LEFT tackle," making his trade request clear. The Ravens were going to lose their young Pro Bowler, no matter what, after next season.

Given that Baltimore's only leverage was that it was in no hurry to trade such a talented player, General Manager Eric DeCosta's reported trade return is impressive.

Essentially, Baltimore traded one year of high-level play from Brown and a sixth-round pick in 2022 to move up 27 spots in this year's draft (from No. 58 to No. 31), third- and fourth-round picks this year and a fifth-round pick next year.

When calculating out the value of the reported picks exchanged, according to the often-used Jimmy Johnson trade chart, the Ravens received what was essentially a 44th-overall pick (early-ish second round). That's not a true first-round pick – which was a high bar – but it's a lot of value.

The Ravens could have waited, let Brown sign a mega-deal elsewhere, and gotten a third-round compensatory pick, but there are a lot of "ifs" in that scenario. Brown would have to stay healthy, get that huge deal, do well with his new team, etc. A third-rounder isn't a guarantee. Plus, it means the Ravens have to guard that pick when it comes to 2022 free-agency decisions.

Instead, Baltimore gets two additional picks this year to bring its total to nine and give DeCosta the ammunition to move around the draft and find value as he loves to do. Next year, Baltimore is already set to cash-in with at least three compensatory picks (Matthew Judon, Yannick Ngakoue, David Culley), so this balances the haul.

The Ravens know they are going to need to stockpile cheaper, young talent to offset the expense of Lamar Jackson's contract extension. Adding picks, especially a second first-round selection, offers that opportunity. Baltimore can draft Brown's long-term replacement and have him for four years on a rookie contract compared to one more relatively affordable year of Brown. Mathematically, it works better for Baltimore's long-term viability while offering short-term flexibility.

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