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What Tuesday's elections taught us, and what they didn't - Roll Call

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Garcia and Smith raised and spent roughly the same amount of money, which has not been the case in other recent special elections where Democrats have significantly outspent their GOP opponents. Democrats noted Wednesday that they have a sizable financial advantage in other competitive House races, where vulnerable Democrats have built massive war chests

In Nebraska’s Omaha-area 2nd District, which saw the most competitive primary in the state, winning Democrat Kara Eastman raised more than double the amount raised by second-place finisher Ann Ashord, a lawyer married to former Rep. Brad Ashford. 

Eastman’s $849,000 haul allowed her to pivot when the coronavirus forced her to shut down her planned ground campaign. Instead, she started advertising on cable on April 1 — three weeks earlier than she had planned, according to the Omaha World-Herald — and started throwing money into social media. Ashford was forced to loan her campaign $200,000 of her own funds to keep up. 

4. Trump drives turnout

Democrats weren’t panicking after they appeared to lose the special election in California, mainly because they believe November’s electorate will look very different. 

Democrats had long expected the special election electorate to favor Republicans because Democratic base voters, including young people and people of color, are less likely to turn out in special elections and primaries. But Democrats are confident they will be motivated to turn out in November, especially to oppose Trump. 

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What Tuesday's elections taught us, and what they didn't - Roll Call
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